Resistance Reclaimed in the London Session

$AVAX broke above its nearest resistance level at $6.92 on the 4H chart during the Asia-London overlap, closing the session near $6.94. This move represents a retest of a previously rejected level that has now converted to support on the lower timeframes. Volume backing the move sits at $220M over 24H, which is moderate but sufficient for structure validation. The 4.95% daily gain confirms the directional conviction, though the move lacks the extreme volatility that typically signals capitulation or euphoria.

Fibonacci and Structural Layers to Monitor

The path from $6.94 to the next major resistance at $9.05 spans roughly 30% upside and contains several intermediate levels worth tracking. A 50% retracement of the prior decline sits near $7.65, which often acts as a consolidation zone before the next leg. The $8.10 - $8.25 range represents the 61.8% Fibonacci extension of the recent recovery, a level where institutional sellers have historically emerged. Above that, $9.05 represents the confluence of a prior swing high and a 78.6% retracement, making it the next structural target rather than a price prediction.

RSI and Momentum Setup

On the 4H chart, RSI is currently in the 55-60 range, indicating momentum is present but not yet overbought. This suggests room for further upside before a pullback becomes likely. MACD on the 4H is in positive territory with the signal line recently crossing above the zero line, confirming the early stages of a momentum shift. A break below the $6.50 level would invalidate this structure and signal a return to the prior consolidation zone. Traders monitoring the London-New York overlap should watch whether $6.94 holds as a pivot point or if price rolls over into the $6.50 support band.

Risk and Key Support to Watch