Every regime read, system signal, and Brief call stays on the ledger. The regime ledger also carries a SHA-256 fingerprint. Wins and losses stay.
The market-state engine snapshots the desk's full read every hour — composite regime, Liquid State Index, funding posture, sentiment — and fingerprints each snapshot. Every time the regime label flips, that flip lands here permanently, paired with what BTC did over the following seven days. Reads that aged badly stay on the page.
Deterministic, rule-based strategies run on paper against the desk's own live reads — rules published in full, fills simulated at snapshot price with modeled fee and slippage, benchmarked against simply holding BTC. Paper, not live money.
See the Systems Desk — all strategies, embeds & the raw feed →Holds BTC only while the Market Barometer reads risk-on. The simplest honest expression of "trade with the regime, stand aside against it."
Position data refreshed 2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
Contrarian long when perp funding shows crowded shorts, regime-filtered so it never knife-catches a confirmed risk-off tape. Long-or-flat.
Position data refreshed 2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
A slow cycle overlay: full size in historical value zones (Mayer Multiple), half size mid-cycle, flat in stretch zones. Moves rarely, by design.
Position data refreshed 2026-10-10 18:00 UTC
When a Brief article states an explicit directional read, it gets tagged at publish with the price at that moment and a stated horizon — then resolved automatically against real Binance closes when the horizon elapses. Confirmed and missed reads are listed identically.
A track record is only worth what a skeptic can verify. Here is exactly how this one is kept.
This record began in July 2026. It is young — that is what an honest one looks like at the start. It deepens every hour, in public, and the methodology above does not change with the results.