Bitcoin Halving Countdown
Every ~210,000 blocks the Bitcoin block reward halves, cutting new supply in half. Below is a live countdown to the fifth halving at block 1,050,000 — plus a systematic look at how BTC performed in the 90 days before and 180 days after each prior halving. For educational purposes only.
Historical halving cycle returns
Price return vs. the halving-day closing price at each measured offset. Green = above halving-day price; red = below. Each halving era followed a distinct trajectory — note how the magnitude of post-halving gains has compressed cycle-over-cycle.
| Era | Halving | Price | −90d | −30d | +30d | +60d | +90d | +180d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 | Nov 28, 2012 | $12.35 | -19% | -15% | +9% | +62% | +143% | +953% |
| H2 | Jul 9, 2016 | $650 | -35% | +6% | -10% | -6% | +8% | +54% |
| H3 | May 11, 2020 | $8,562 | +19% | -20% | +16% | +9% | +36% | +73% |
| H4 | Apr 19, 2024 | $63,818 | -35% | +6% | +4% | +2% | +0.3% | +6% |
Past halving returns are not a forecast of future performance. H1–H2 figures are approximate (pre-Binance era; sourced from public price history). H3–H4 computed from Binance daily OHLCV. Returns are % change vs. halving-day closing price.
Frequently asked questions
Weekly systematic market context plus a heads-up when the halving is 90 days out — from The Brief.
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For educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice and not a prediction of future performance. Block timing is an estimate based on the 10-minute target block time and will drift with network hashrate. Historical price figures for H1–H2 are approximate; H3–H4 sourced from Binance daily OHLCV.
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