Question 1

What percentage of Bitcoin weeks close positive?

Accepted Answer

Historically, Bitcoin closes approximately ~58% of weeks in positive territory — meaning more weeks close green than red, though negative weeks can produce larger individual moves.

Question 2

What is the median Bitcoin weekly return?

Accepted Answer

The median Bitcoin weekly return since 2017 is approximately ~+0.9%. The median is lower than the mean because a small number of extreme positive weeks (>+20%) skew the average upward.

Question 3

How often does Bitcoin drop more than 10% in a week?

Accepted Answer

Based on weekly Binance BTCUSDT data since 2017, Bitcoin drops more than 10% in a week approximately 10–12% of the time — roughly one in every 8–10 weeks. These are concentrated around macro de-risk events and liquidation cascades.

Bitcoin Weekly Returns Distribution

Get weekly regime context + briefings in your inbox