Bitcoin Weekly Returns Distribution

How BTC weekly candles have distributed since 2017 · 470 complete weeks · Updated weekly

Current week (w/o 2026-08-17)
+22.81%
Percentile rank
98th
of all weekly closes
% Positive weeks
53.0%
249 of 470 weeks
Median return
+0.53%
Mean: +1.00%
Weekly return distribution (count)labeled bar = current week bucket
13266<-30%-25%-15%-5%+5%+15%9+25%

How to read this

Each bar shows how many Bitcoin weekly candles closed within that return range since 2017. The emphasized, value-labeled bar is the bucket the current (in-progress) week falls in. The distribution is right-skewed — more extreme positive weeks than negative, but negative weeks tend to cluster around major macro events.

The percentile rank compares the current week's return to all historical weekly closes. A 50th percentile reading is median — exactly average for any given week. This is structural context, not a signal.

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Data: Binance BTCUSDT weekly klines (public API). Returns are open-to-close per weekly candle. This is structural context — not financial advice, not a trading signal. All tools